Jumping in on early NFL lines is risky—numbers like a -3 opener drifting to...

https://paxtonsexpertop-ed.zenbloomer.com/posts/how-do-i-stop-treating-every-new-stat-like-gospel-in-september

Jumping in on early NFL lines is risky—numbers like a -3 opener drifting to -4.5 often reflect sharp moves, not public opinion. Patience pays off; waiting for the close gives you a clearer picture and better value instead of chasing misleading early odds.